| Manager | Seasons | Actual wins | Expected | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Brockmann | 20 | 159.0 | 150.2 | +8.8 |
| Kevin Mackie | 7 | 55.0 | 47.7 | +7.3 |
| Matt Rossetti | 19 | 141.5 | 137.8 | +3.7 |
| Jamie Rossetti | 7 | 45.5 | 41.9 | +3.6 |
| Alan Gobron | 19 | 135.5 | 132.5 | +3.0 |
| Audrey Ellis | 5 | 31.5 | 29.6 | +1.9 |
| Ben Stearns | 16 | 116.0 | 114.7 | +1.3 |
| Paul Brockmann | 19 | 125.5 | 125.0 | +0.5 |
| John Campbell | 10 | 71.5 | 71.4 | +0.1 |
| Paul Gobron | 20 | 151.0 | 152.5 | −1.5 |
| Ben Campbell | 20 | 145.0 | 150.9 | −5.9 |
| Peter Ellis | 19 | 135.0 | 140.9 | −5.9 |
| Doug Gobron | 18 | 115.0 | 124.5 | −9.5 |
Twenty seasons of numbers
Analytics.
A sequel to Paul's October 2014 "Fantasy Football Past Season Data" emails, which looked at eight seasons in a spreadsheet. Now with all of them. Regular season unless noted; consolation games never count.
Top scorer made playoffs
100%
7 titles from the #1 scoring team
Draft slot r²
0.011
draft position barely predicts finish
Best draft slot
4th
79% playoffs · 5 titles
Luckiest career
+8.8
David Brockmann (wins above expected)
Luck Index
Each week, your score is compared against every other team in the league, not just your opponent. That all-play record says how many wins your scoring deserved; luck is the gap between that and your actual wins. Managers with 3+ seasons.
Points rank vs. the playoffs
Where you need to finish in regular-season points to make the playoffs. Excludes 2006 (an eight-team league with a four-team playoff); ranks 11–12 only exist since the league went to 12 teams in 2020.
| Points rank | Seasons | Made playoffs | Titles | Avg finish | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 19 | 19 (100%) | 7 | 2.2 | |
| 2nd | 19 | 18 (95%) | 4 | 2.8 | |
| 3rd | 19 | 13 (68%) | 2 | 4.1 | |
| 4th | 19 | 16 (84%) | 1 | 3.8 | |
| 5th | 19 | 8 (42%) | — | 5.7 | |
| 6th | 19 | 5 (26%) | 2 | 5.9 | |
| 7th | 19 | 4 (21%) | 1 | 6.8 | |
| 8th | 19 | 1 (5%) | — | 7.3 | |
| 9th | 19 | 1 (5%) | 1 | 8.9 | |
| 10th | 19 | 3 (16%) | 1 | 8.2 | |
| 11th | 6 | 0 (0%) | — | 9.5 | |
| 12th | 6 | 0 (0%) | — | 11.3 |
Postseason
Playoff games only: semifinals, title games and everything else in the championship bracket.
| Manager | Apps | Record | Semifinals | Title games | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Gobron | 12 | 13–13 | 4–8 | 3–1 | 3 |
| John Campbell | 4 | 8–2 | 2–2 | 2–0 | 2 |
| Ben Stearns | 4 | 5–3 | 2–2 | 2–0 | 2 |
| Matt Rossetti | 10 | 12–9 | 8–2 | 2–5 | 2 |
| Alan Gobron | 8 | 9–8 | 5–3 | 2–2 | 2 |
| Peter Ellis | 10 | 10–11 | 2–8 | 2–0 | 2 |
| David Brockmann | 12 | 12–14 | 6–6 | 2–3 | 2 |
| Audrey Ellis | 1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 1 |
| Theo Silverberg | 1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 1 |
| Jamie Rossetti | 3 | 4–3 | 2–1 | 1–1 | 1 |
| Kevin Mackie | 4 | 4–4 | 3–1 | 1–2 | 1 |
| Doug Gobron | 5 | 5–6 | 2–3 | 1–1 | 1 |
| Brian Racca | 1 | 1–1 | 0–1 | — | — |
| Jason Huie | 1 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 0–1 | — |
| Ben Campbell | 8 | 6–11 | 5–3 | 0–3 | — |
| Paul Brockmann | 8 | 4–12 | 2–6 | 0–1 | — |
Consistency Index
The 2014 formula: the standard deviation of each manager's win % and finishing position, each indexed to the league average and combined. 100 = average; higher = more consistent, for better or worse. 5+ seasons.
| Manager | Seasons | SD win % | SD finish | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Brockmann | 20 | .127 | .274 | 118 | |
| Ben Campbell | 20 | .136 | .263 | 116 | |
| Paul Gobron | 20 | .123 | .300 | 115 | |
| Peter Ellis | 19 | .144 | .309 | 104 | |
| Ben Stearns | 16 | .151 | .300 | 103 | |
| Doug Gobron | 18 | .154 | .306 | 101 | |
| Matt Rossetti | 19 | .153 | .309 | 101 | |
| Audrey Ellis | 5 | .149 | .320 | 101 | |
| Paul Brockmann | 19 | .163 | .296 | 100 | |
| Alan Gobron | 19 | .178 | .304 | 95 | |
| Jamie Rossetti | 7 | .167 | .354 | 91 | |
| John Campbell | 10 | .187 | .342 | 87 | |
| Kevin Mackie | 7 | .180 | .393 | 83 |
Draft order
r² between draft position and final finish is 0.011 — basically no straight-line relationship, same as 2014 (.0121). But some slots have done far better than others. Excludes 2006; slots 11–12 only exist since 2020.
| Draft slot | Seasons | Made playoffs | Titles | Avg finish | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 19 | 8 (42%) | 2 | top 52% | |
| 2nd | 19 | 9 (47%) | 2 | top 45% | |
| 3rd | 19 | 6 (32%) | 3 | top 53% | |
| 4th | 19 | 15 (79%) | 5 | top 31% | |
| 5th | 19 | 9 (47%) | 1 | top 47% | |
| 6th | 19 | 8 (42%) | 2 | top 48% | |
| 7th | 19 | 7 (37%) | — | top 61% | |
| 8th | 19 | 7 (37%) | — | top 51% | |
| 9th | 19 | 5 (26%) | 1 | top 57% | |
| 10th | 19 | 8 (42%) | 3 | top 49% | |
| 11th | 6 | 5 (83%) | — | top 45% | |
| 12th | 6 | 1 (17%) | — | top 71% |
Draft Efficiency Index
How often you finish better than your draft slot. Seasons drafting 1st are left out, since nobody can finish above 1st. 5+ seasons.
| Manager | Beat draft slot | Avg places gained | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Gobron | 13 of 18 (72%) | +2.0 | |
| Matt Rossetti | 13 of 18 (72%) | +1.9 | |
| Peter Ellis | 11 of 17 (65%) | +0.9 | |
| John Campbell | 6 of 10 (60%) | +0.7 | |
| David Brockmann | 10 of 18 (56%) | +1.1 | |
| Jamie Rossetti | 3 of 6 (50%) | +1.0 | |
| Alan Gobron | 8 of 16 (50%) | +0.6 | |
| Ben Stearns | 7 of 14 (50%) | −0.4 | |
| Kevin Mackie | 2 of 5 (40%) | +2.2 | |
| Audrey Ellis | 2 of 5 (40%) | −0.6 | |
| Doug Gobron | 6 of 15 (40%) | −1.0 | |
| Ben Campbell | 6 of 17 (35%) | −0.4 | |
| Paul Brockmann | 5 of 17 (29%) | −1.1 |
Standard vs. PPR
Regular-season win % before and after the switch to PPR. Managers with at least a season in both eras, sorted by who gained the most.
| Manager | Standard | PPR | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Campbell | 34–39–1 | .466 | 108–98–5 | .524 | +57 |
| Ben Stearns | 7–8 | .467 | 108–101–2 | .517 | +50 |
| Alan Gobron | 35–39 | .473 | 100–96–1 | .510 | +37 |
| Paul Gobron | 37–36–1 | .507 | 112–96–3 | .538 | +31 |
| Matt Rossetti | 37–36–1 | .507 | 104–93 | .528 | +21 |
| Paul Brockmann | 28–31–1 | .475 | 95–112–4 | .460 | −15 |
| Doug Gobron | 27–31–2 | .467 | 85–108–4 | .442 | −25 |
| David Brockmann | 43–31 | .581 | 115–94–2 | .550 | −31 |
| Kevin Mackie | 40–34 | .541 | 15–15 | .500 | −41 |
| Peter Ellis | 36–24 | .600 | 98–111–2 | .469 | −131 |
Change is in points of win % (+100 = .100 better).
Roster moves
Average adds/drops per season, and how those managers finish. Managers with 3+ seasons.
| Manager | Moves / season | Avg finish | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbell | 25.9 | top 49% | |
| Ben Campbell | 21.6 | top 54% | |
| Paul Gobron | 20.5 | top 39% | |
| David Brockmann | 18.7 | top 39% | |
| Doug Gobron | 16.6 | top 61% | |
| Ben Stearns | 15.9 | top 55% | |
| Jamie Rossetti | 15.6 | top 53% | |
| Matt Rossetti | 15.1 | top 41% | |
| Peter Ellis | 13.6 | top 49% | |
| Paul Brockmann | 9.7 | top 60% | |
| Audrey Ellis | 8.8 | top 55% | |
| Alan Gobron | 6.5 | top 47% | |
| Kevin Mackie | 3.4 | top 47% |